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QairnelParis · New York
ARPA-H SURPASS • TA1 & TA3 CONSORTIUM PARTNER

Bridging TA1 (phaseless design engine) & TA3 (agentic operations)in a continuous self-learning loop

Qairnel (Paris & New York, spin-off of the Paris Brain Institute) is actively seeking clinical trial networks, academic prime contractors, and TA2 biostatistical partners to submit a joint proposal for ARPA-H SURPASS. We bring two production-tested technologies—CourseMap AI (TA1) and DocMemo (TA3)—already operating as a unified, closed-loop platform.

TECHNICAL AREA 1 (TA1) • PHASELESS DESIGN ENGINE

CourseMap AIFrom award-winning academic research to operational digital twins

For TA1, Qairnel brings CourseMap AI—a patented, award-winning spatiotemporal digital-twin engine validated in Nature Communications, where it ranked #1 against 56 competing methods in the international TADPOLE Challenge for predicting cognitive decline in Alzheimer’s disease.

Crucially, CourseMap AI is not merely an academic algorithm: it is an industrial-grade system utilized by 4 top-tier pharmaceutical sponsors, with proven statistical power gains on Sanofi’s MOVES-PD study and operational Phase 2 deployment delivering validated prognostic covariates in under 4 weeks from database lock.

Our TA1 Vision: An Open, Multi-Model Ensemble Hub

Our vision for SURPASS TA1 is not to lock the consortium into a single proprietary model, but to architect an open simulation and digital-twin platform capable of hosting and combining multiple independent models. Empirical machine learning consistently demonstrates that ensemble aggregation of independent predictors yields superior accuracy and robustness.

Academic-to-Industrial Bridge: Born out of the Paris Brain Institute (ICM), our engineering team knows firsthand how to translate complex academic models into reproducible, regulatory-compliant (21 CFR Part 11 / FDA-aligned) operational software.

#1 / 56 Methods
TADPOLE Benchmark

Award-winning, patented progression model validated in Nature Communications for predicting cognitive decline in Alzheimer’s disease.

< 4 Weeks
Data-Lock to Covariates

Operationally deployed in an active Phase 2 trial—delivering validated prognostic covariates within 4 weeks of database lock.

+15% Power
Proven on MOVES-PD

Demonstrated significant variance reduction and power gain in Sanofi’s Phase 2 Parkinson’s disease study.

4 of Top 10
Global Pharma Sponsors

Industrial-grade software trusted and deployed across major biopharmaceutical clinical development pipelines.

1,000+ Candidates
Referred to Early AD Trials

Proven in real-world operations across 12+ partner clinical trial sites in the US and Europe.

< 80% Screen Failure
vs. > 90% Industry Standard

Substantially increases in-clinic screening conversion, allowing sites to focus on patient visits rather than outreach.

65,000+ Screened
Always-On Waiting Room

Continuous community engagement of subjective memory complainers ready for Day-1 mobilization and dynamic multi-arm allocation.

Pre-M0 Longitudinal Data
Direct Feed into TA1 Twins

Captures real-world cognitive risk profiles and trajectories during pre-screening to initialize TA1 digital twins.

TECHNICAL AREA 3 (TA3) • AGENTIC OPERATIONS

DocMemoAn always-on “virtual waiting room” purpose-built for platform trials

For TA3, Qairnel brings DocMemo—a continuous digital engagement and qualification infrastructure that maintains a live “virtual waiting room” of phenotyped individuals with subjective cognitive complaints upstream of any specific protocol.

Ideal for Adaptive Platform Trials: Multi-arm perpetual trials require allocating the right sub-populations dynamically across evolving treatment arms over time. Maintaining an always-updated, pre-qualified cohort enables Day-1 enrollment without startup lag.

Proven Real-World Operational Efficiency

Tested at scale in early Alzheimer’s disease programs across 12+ partner sites with over 1,000 referred trial candidates, DocMemo has reduced screen failure rates to <80% (compared to >90% industry standard)—relieving clinical sites of recruitment friction so staff can focus on clinical visits.

UNIQUE CONSORTIUM DIFFERENTIATOR • NATIVE TA1 ↔ TA3 INTEGRATION

A self-learning platform loopConnecting pre-screening operations to endpoint analysis

Qairnel is one of the very few organizations capable of connecting TA3 (pre-screening operations) and TA1 (digital-twin simulation) out of the box—creating a closed-loop learning system that continuously compounds trial efficiency, statistical power, and probability of success.

STEP 01 · TA3 PRE-SCREENINGUpstream Community

Longitudinal Risk Capture in the Waiting Room

DocMemo engages subjective memory complainers and collects longitudinal cognitive dynamics weeks or months before formal trial randomization.

Output → Pre-M0 cognitive trajectories & risk profiles
STEP 02 · TA3 → TA1 CALIBRATIONBaseline (M0)

Pre-Calibrated Baseline Digital Twins

Pre-screening trajectories combine with in-clinic biomarkers and imaging at randomization to initialize high-precision TA1 digital twins.

Output → Individualized 24-month prognostic twin Y_i*
STEP 04 · SELF-LEARNING FEEDBACKTA1/TA2 → TA3 Loop

Real-Time Waiting Room Re-Optimization

Outcome data collected through randomization and trial follow-up continuously re-trains the TA3 screening models to identify and allocate the next wave of patients.

↺ Feeds back into Step 01 for next patient cohort
STEP 03 · TA1 ↔ TA2 INFERENCEActive Trial Execution

Continuous Trial Power & Adaptation

Prognostic covariates neutralize variance during the trial, reducing sample size requirements by 15%–25% and accelerating multi-arm adaptations.

Output → Longitudinal outcomes & biomarker response
DISEASE AREA ALIGNMENT FOR SURPASS PROPOSALS

Target indications & deployment readiness

PRIORITY 1 • CORE TURNKEY READINESS

Alzheimer’s Disease & Dementias

Immediate Operational Readiness (TA1 + TA3 Live)

Pre-trained CourseMap AI manifolds + active DocMemo virtual waiting room (65,000+ screened individuals, 1,000+ trial referrals across 12+ sites).

PRIORITY 1B • OTHER NEURODEGENERATIVE DISORDERS

Parkinson’s & Movement Disorders, Huntington’s, ALS

Validated TA1 Models + Adaptable TA3 Infrastructure

Proven Phase 2 covariate adjustment in Parkinson’s disease (MOVES-PD & Top-10 Pharma deployments) and calibrated longitudinal models in HD and ALS.

PRIORITY 2 • CNS EXPANSION

Mental Health & Neuropsychiatry

High-Frequency Ecological Phenotyping & Trajectory Modeling

Leveraging DocMemo’s decentralized cognitive/behavioral capture and longitudinal state-space modeling to overcome high placebo response and heterogeneity.

OPEN COLLABORATION

Other Therapeutic Indications

Open to Evaluation with Prime / Clinical Network Partners

Our multi-model TA1 simulation architecture and TA3 continuous pre-screening engine are disease-agnostic and can be tailored to high-unmet-need platform trials.

BUILDING A SURPASS CONSORTIUM?

Partner with Qairnel on TA1, TA3, or integrated TA1+TA3

Contact our leadership team in New York and Paris to align on Solution Summary concepts (due November 30, 2026).

B2B Scientific Consultation

Request a Protocol Trajectory Audit

Direct 30-minute briefing with our Biostatistics & Computational Neurology leads.

Please use your institutional or pharmaceutical corporate email address.
Target Clinical Trial Phase *
Target Indication Focus
HIPAA | GDPR | 21 CFR Part 11 AlignedParis · New York